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tom 發表於 2009-5-8 13:03

Real Estate - Real Estate Market Reaches Equilibrium between Buyers and Sellers

Title : "Real Estate Market Reaches Equilibrium between Buyers and Sellers".Real Estate,Finance Investment Real estate market reaches equilibrium between buyers and sellers; exceptions are in northeast, western states Chicago metro area.  Three months ago, the “Current Market Conditions” survey showed that overall the U.S. housing market was displaying a rare balance between buyer demand and seller supply for the first time in eight years. The latest quarterly survey shows that equilibrium has been achieved --  41% of real estate agents said more buyers than sellers; 40% said there were more sellers than buyers, and 19% reported a 50-50 balance.    Most notable exceptions are in the Northeast, Chicago metro area, and in the Western states. (See Second Quarter chart.) Home buyers outnumber sellers by considerable margins in Chicago and the West, while sellers outnumber buyers in the Northeast.    Additional proof of a balanced nationwide housing market between buyers and sellers was reported by the National Association of Realtors, which estimated a 6.5 month supply of unsold homes in its May report. An inventory  supply of  5.5 to 6.0 months is considered balanced.   The second quarter national survey also found:      •Fifty-six percent of real estate agents said it is now on average, taking more than 60 days from listing to contract to sell a house. This is up from 55% in the first quarter and 35% a year ago.  Twenty- eight percent said it is taking more than 90 days to contract.  Only 15% of existing homes for sale are selling in 30 days or less.        •Housing inventories are continuing to increase:  86% now report a good supply of homes in virtually all price ranges. This is up from 81% in the first quarter and  38% a year ago.  •Sixty-six percent of member agents reported that annual home price appreciation is now five percent or less. This is down from 8-10% a year ago. Home price appreciation of more than 10% is now 16%, on average.      •The percentage of home sellers getting 95% or more of asking prices  is currently 68%, compared to 90% a year ago. Three months ago it was 75%.      •Multiple offers from home buyers are also down substantially. Currently,  the estimate is 32%.  It was  39% in the first quarter and 70% a year ago.      •First-time buyers still account for one of three homes for sale nationally. Repeat and move-up buyers are most active in higher priced real estate markets.   Recent home price appreciation and rising mortgage rates interest rates have had only a minimal negative effect on first-time buyers, on average. Exceptions are marginal qualifiers.      “We welcome a balanced, more orderly marketplace for both the consumer and real estate professionals,” said Michael Bearden, president and CEO of HouseHunt, Inc. “Double-digit price appreciation is simply not sustainable for a multi-year period and will eventually drive away entry level buyers.“           Second Quarter Current Market Conditions Survey:   Regional Results           U.S.   South  Midwest   Northeast  West   California*    Chicago*      More Buyers     41%      40%    49%        30%       47%  39%        50%       More Sellers     40%      44%    30%        50%       34%  41%           19%      50-50    19%      16%     21%        20%       19%  20%           31%        Time on Market:      0-60 days    44%      35%     31%        48%       49%   49%       35%      More than 60 days    56%      65%     69%        51Q%   51%       65%      Sale vs. Ask Price:      90-95%    35%     35%      29%        37&%    29%       34%      95% -100% Plus    65%     65%      71%        63%       74%         71%        66%      Annual Apprec.:       5% or less   66%      57%      70%      73e%    75%       61%      5-10%   18%      30%      20%      19%       15%    11%       31%      More than 10%   16%      13%      10%       8 %    14%        8%      Inventory:      Good Supply   86%      86%      90%       96% 83%    90%       92%      Limited Supply   14%      14%      10%       4% 17%    10%        8%      Multiple offers:      Yes   32%      35%      33%       34% 32%    18%        55%    No   68%      65%      67%       66% 68%    82%        45%      Activity:      First Time Buyers   33%      34%      41%       47%       42%    44%        35%      Move-Up Repeat   67%     66%       59%       53% 58%    56%        65%      *California survey percentages are included in both U.S. and West  results.  **Chicago Metro survey percentages are included in both .U.S. and Midwest results.      Monte Helme is a national public relations consultant with HouseHunt, Inc. Visit current real estate  listings and  MLS to search homes for sale or find home prices

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